Nice sales pitch & well argued. I disagree with your Senate calculus though for two reasons & actually believe Democrats will gain a slim majority without having to rely on Walz's vote.
The first is that the MAGA party have stood up flawed candidates in seats they could have won with Republican candidates - which of course no longer exist.
The second reason is the freedom message that Harris has run the whole race on, particularly women's reproductive health. Even here in Australia we know how historically unproductive your obstructionist House & Senate have been in recent times. We've also seen how down ballot races have been amplified at Democrat rallies.
Also give women & the men that love them some credit. When Harris says "When Congress passes a bill to restore the protections of Roe V Wade, I will proudly sign it into law", those people understand she actually needs a Democrat House & Senate to do that!
I've never understood people who claim to be conservative while also claiming to like Trump's policies. The reason I was NeverTrump from the jump were because of Trump's anti-conservative policies - particularly protectionism and coddling dictators. Those are the policies Trump is most committed to. He is not actually committed to any conservative policies.
Well said, Tim. You are the friendly face I need right now. I am super sick with the flu and watching the news obsessively. I am literally laying here waiting for the fever to break. Love from a 🔵 living in a 🔴 in Oregon.
The only thing I disagree with when pitching these voters in general is selling a Republican senate. Because it essentially asks them to vote for Harris because she can be stopped by a Republican senate which doesn’t feel like a good sell. Even if that works, the senate can flip in 2 years so saying she can’t get judges or legislation now won’t fly with Nikki Haley voters it will just reinforce the idea that she is so bad that she needs to be stopped.
To me the top 5 selling points to the Nikki Haley:
1. You don’t want to mass deport millions of people that will break families apart and in times when college campus Democrats hate America, the one group that appreciates America most are immigrants particularly those that have been here a long time.
2. Isolationism. Ukraine will have to fend for itself and abandoning Ukraine will give China the green light to plan an attack on Taiwan in 2-3 years when Trump is so old he won’t care as he’s surrounded by yesmen.
3. Sexism. You thought Nikki Haley would usher in a new Republican era. Instead you have Charlie Kirk and Tucker Carlson as the avatars for MAGA. Nikki Haley is young enough to run again if you still believe she is worth another look. If you go Trump with JD Vance/Don Jr/Tucker then you may win the battle but you will lose the war.
4. Supreme Court. No one needs to retire so most likely none of the 6 Supreme Court justices you like are going anywhere. Republicans can win in 2028 to replace Alito and Thomas.
5. Patriotism. Referring to America as a hellhole garbage can full of criminal migrants with a woke military where dead soldiers are suckers is not what you want. You know soldiers you’ve met military members. Honor them by taking a John McCain view of the military and pass on Trump.
TFP is a RINO.
Nice sales pitch & well argued. I disagree with your Senate calculus though for two reasons & actually believe Democrats will gain a slim majority without having to rely on Walz's vote.
The first is that the MAGA party have stood up flawed candidates in seats they could have won with Republican candidates - which of course no longer exist.
The second reason is the freedom message that Harris has run the whole race on, particularly women's reproductive health. Even here in Australia we know how historically unproductive your obstructionist House & Senate have been in recent times. We've also seen how down ballot races have been amplified at Democrat rallies.
Also give women & the men that love them some credit. When Harris says "When Congress passes a bill to restore the protections of Roe V Wade, I will proudly sign it into law", those people understand she actually needs a Democrat House & Senate to do that!
I've never understood people who claim to be conservative while also claiming to like Trump's policies. The reason I was NeverTrump from the jump were because of Trump's anti-conservative policies - particularly protectionism and coddling dictators. Those are the policies Trump is most committed to. He is not actually committed to any conservative policies.
Well said, Tim. You are the friendly face I need right now. I am super sick with the flu and watching the news obsessively. I am literally laying here waiting for the fever to break. Love from a 🔵 living in a 🔴 in Oregon.
Here's some photos of Trump's planned 𝘈𝘬𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 against unauthorized immigrants:
https://images.app.goo.gl/qxW96WvCz3ZpS7QH8
Excellent piece! Peace!!
Beautifully done
The only thing I disagree with when pitching these voters in general is selling a Republican senate. Because it essentially asks them to vote for Harris because she can be stopped by a Republican senate which doesn’t feel like a good sell. Even if that works, the senate can flip in 2 years so saying she can’t get judges or legislation now won’t fly with Nikki Haley voters it will just reinforce the idea that she is so bad that she needs to be stopped.
To me the top 5 selling points to the Nikki Haley:
1. You don’t want to mass deport millions of people that will break families apart and in times when college campus Democrats hate America, the one group that appreciates America most are immigrants particularly those that have been here a long time.
2. Isolationism. Ukraine will have to fend for itself and abandoning Ukraine will give China the green light to plan an attack on Taiwan in 2-3 years when Trump is so old he won’t care as he’s surrounded by yesmen.
3. Sexism. You thought Nikki Haley would usher in a new Republican era. Instead you have Charlie Kirk and Tucker Carlson as the avatars for MAGA. Nikki Haley is young enough to run again if you still believe she is worth another look. If you go Trump with JD Vance/Don Jr/Tucker then you may win the battle but you will lose the war.
4. Supreme Court. No one needs to retire so most likely none of the 6 Supreme Court justices you like are going anywhere. Republicans can win in 2028 to replace Alito and Thomas.
5. Patriotism. Referring to America as a hellhole garbage can full of criminal migrants with a woke military where dead soldiers are suckers is not what you want. You know soldiers you’ve met military members. Honor them by taking a John McCain view of the military and pass on Trump.
Excellent.
Thanks, Tim. It’s a very thorough yet succinct. I shared on FB. It should give the reluctant ones an out for deviating from doctrine.
Thank you. I’m sending this out. Everyone , please share.