Youngkin frankly isn't much better than Trump. His interference in schools is straight big-government anti-science "teach to the test and don't teach anything else" poppycock.
Every would-be authoritarian dreams of turning their nation's Supreme Court into a Court they control. Purging and packing are just tactics with the same goal in mind. We can’t afford to let it happen here.
Tim, I haven’t paid much attention to the polls and here are 2 reasons why:
1) I’m 72 and retired. My cell phone is never far from me. I have it set to block all calls that aren’t on my contacts list.
As a result I have not answered a single polling phone call. I lived in AZ 2 years ago so most of the blocked calls are from the 928 area code and I guess they may be about the AZ races (in addition to Medicare plans and home warranty plans!). I suspect that there are many people like me, young and old, who only use a cell phone and just don’t answer calls from unknown callers. That would result in a lot of people who have not been “polled”
2) I live in one of dozens of gated communities on the north side of San Antonio. Homeowners Associations forbid door-to-door soliciting so door knocking just doesn’t/can't happen here.
My point is, I think too many people, like me, have not been asked about their preference in this election. Who are the pollsters talking to? Mainly people who still have landlines? People who respond to those sketchy looking online polls in emails and on social media? People who answer their landline phone calls from unknown callers. I think we may all suspect who most of those people are. Do we want to depend on their opinions?
Where is the discussion of the risk that if Harris wins and then wins control of Congress, Democrats will pack the Supreme Court. Harris could easily disavow Court expansion by endorsing the Keep 9 Amendment, first introduced in Congress by a Democrat, to keep the Court at 9 Justices. To win swing Haley voters, she should. Why won’t she?
Could you explain the following: why is it so awful for the president to add a new justice every two years, but there is no problem with having the president remove a justice every two years and then fill the vacancy? Make no mistake, an 18 year term limit is basically establishing the latter as the standard order. It allows the president more power to reshape the Court, so explain why the former is packing but the latter is not.
I think about 85,000 voters in Michigan passed on presidential candidates in 2016, left it blank and Hilary lost. Haley will make appearances next week for Trump or so my sources tell me; she obviously does nothing for free so they will mend fences I believe. Who would have ever thought that Trump would not pay for all the blatant cruel racism and violence he brought to politics?
I personally hope that Harris is able to accomplish more than you say, Tim, but I can see why you would provide this analysis to your Haley-supporting friends. And by all means, a hobbled Harris Administration would be infinitely preferable to a cruel, lawless Trump regime. If Harris could work successfully on democracy bolstering efforts (maybe along with Cheney) that would actually be enough for me.
Good article , Tim. I am an independent, but have been completely out on “maga” since the day the access Hollywood tape came out and Trump terrorized a nation full of sexual assault survivors- we have been constantly retraumatized by this predator ever since 🤬.
During the Trump admin, my 403b did great, but it wasn’t thanks to anything Trump did. This is something people don’t realize. Trumps economy wasn’t thanks to Trump.
The disastrous kabul pullout, Trump had a heavy hand in and has responsibility for.
If America abandoned Ukraine to Russia in the same way Trump abandoned the Kurds, it’ll be the most shameless thing America will be known for in the past century or future century.
And if DFT is able to close his own felony cases of DFT v the USA for his wretched treason against the citizens and govt of America it will be worst than any of the rest of it. We cannot function without the rule of law.
Is there anything to say to those who are worried that a President Harris will unilaterally cut off supplies to Israel for its war against Hamas because the left wing chattering class is too up in arms about the human shields getting caught in Israel's operations? Unlike the items you mentioned in section 3, the president does have unilateral authority to make such decisions.
🙄 Her husband is Jewish. No american President is ever going to withhold arms or funding from Israel. She has never uttered one syllable that was out of step with Israel. The only people on her left flank that have been suggesting this have been chanting “Holocaust Harris” - they are not even voting for her. they are the radicals, not her.
She had an opportunity for a Sister Souljah moment that would have shown that she does not listen to the radicals by picking Shapiro as her running mate. She did not take it.
She is also affiliated with an administration that has not just said things out of step with Israel, but has done out of step with Israel. The Biden Administration has withheld arms in certain circumstances and leaked Israeli military plans after demanding that Israel share such plans. When Israel responds to such leaking by acting without sharing such information in advance, Biden berates Israel for not being a team player.
I think it all pales in comparison to ending the American Republic as we know it. That is not justification for not being candid about what can be expected from Harris on Israel based on what he have seen from the administration she served in.
Update: Bernie Sanders is telling his followers that he will prevail over the Harris Administration to take a harder line towards Israel. It's not Harris or anyone in her campaign saying it, but she's not denying it either.
I'll say something further. If the JAG Corps were ti reach a consensus that Israel is taking insufficient measures to protect innocent bystanders from It's efforts against Hamas, I would support measures to rein in Israel in response. That is because unlike the left-wing activists, the JAG Corps weighs the consequences on both sides of the ledger.
Agree, there are 7+M Jews in Israel, 7+M Jews in America, next is France with 450,000. Do the math, she's obviously walking a fine line. It might hurt her in Michigan but not enough of a factor to be meaningful. I didn't even mention Wall Street!
checking R down ballot? does that include Mark Robinson? And would that Youngkin on 2028 ticket be the same one who denied what his ears actually heard or does he have sibling or child waiting in the wings?
Still.. appreciate the effort Tim. Michelle Obama implored us all to do something. And you are.
Nice try Tim. I am sure you feel a lot better getting this off your chest. But ... Sadly ... the die is already cast. As I pointed out in a different comment, I think this election will all come down to the 70% of women that are pissed off that their right to health care has been infringed upon. We can only hope that these women split their ticket.
Think you missed an important "plank" in Trump's planned agenda -- making sure "fully intact" boys aren't playing in girls' sports leagues:
"Trump and Republicans Bet Big on Anti-Trans Ads Across the Country:
Republicans have spent tens of millions of dollars on the ads, part of an attempt to help them win over suburban female voters. ....
With just four weeks until the election, Donald J. Trump and Republican candidates nationwide are putting transgender issues at the center of their campaigns, tapping into fears about transgender women and girls in sports and about taxpayer-funded gender transitions in prisons."
Some wag once jested that the Republicans (Nixon) had put a man on the moon, but that Democrats were putting many men into women's sports, prisons, and change rooms. You may wish to take a gander at a book by Substacker and lawyer Kara Dansky titled, "The Reckoning: How the Democrats and the Left Betrayed Women and Girls":
Republicans claim they put a man on the moon? Wow. Nixon took office in late-January 1969. In just just six short months he developed the Saturn V rocket, launched all those increasingly complex missions to and around the Moon, and then landed a man on the Moon in late-July 1969. Extraordinary.
Literally … 🙄 It was a joke, one to emphasize the fact that Harris and Biden, and most Democrats, apparently haven't got a goddamn clue about the bedrock differences between males and females. And about their far-reaching consequences.
And who apparently “think” — being charitable — that Bruce Jenner saying “I identify as a woman, as an adult human female” makes him one. He won't EVER be a female, someone able to conceive, gestate, and give birth to a baby. Primarily because he doesn't have, won't EVER have the ovaries that are pretty much the essential requirement to qualify as a female.
Are Bruce Jenner and Dylan Mulvaney males or females or sexless eunuchs?
Neither Biden nor Harris seem to have damn clue about the difference between males and females. A general cluelessness, particularly on the part of Democrats, which has rotted out much of our educational, legal, governmental, and scientific institutions. They should be sent to wander in the wilderness for the next four years if not longer for that alone.
No problemo. But the problem isn't with the (some) few institutions which recognize the profound differences between sex and gender but with the many -- including the many politicians like Biden & Harris -- which don't have a goddamn clue -- in fact who make strenuous efforts to hide the differences.
The British Medical Journal, and the late great Justice Anton Scalia were among those few:
And your own "Rachel" Levine -- speaking of fish rotting from the head down -- who apparently thinks putting on a dress turns "her" into a female, and who is prepared to sacrifice dysphoric & autistic children to "her" ideology:
Thank you for pointing this out Tim, I really think the the only thing you left out is the Kash Patel’s,Steven Miller, my pillow guy, Gen. Flynn types who will be running our government and never mind the fact that if something does happen to Trump a Musk or Thiel shadow govt will be in place.
But Haley, who knows all this, is supporting Trump. She wants a political career so it makes sense, but if she thinks she'll get a chance to run the next term, she has to factor in two things. 1) Trump very possibly won't leave office, and 2) Vance who will not go quietly.
Youngkin frankly isn't much better than Trump. His interference in schools is straight big-government anti-science "teach to the test and don't teach anything else" poppycock.
Ah, but that means Trump lost tomorrow, and who knows what will happen four years from now.
Every would-be authoritarian dreams of turning their nation's Supreme Court into a Court they control. Purging and packing are just tactics with the same goal in mind. We can’t afford to let it happen here.
Brilliant
Tim, I haven’t paid much attention to the polls and here are 2 reasons why:
1) I’m 72 and retired. My cell phone is never far from me. I have it set to block all calls that aren’t on my contacts list.
As a result I have not answered a single polling phone call. I lived in AZ 2 years ago so most of the blocked calls are from the 928 area code and I guess they may be about the AZ races (in addition to Medicare plans and home warranty plans!). I suspect that there are many people like me, young and old, who only use a cell phone and just don’t answer calls from unknown callers. That would result in a lot of people who have not been “polled”
2) I live in one of dozens of gated communities on the north side of San Antonio. Homeowners Associations forbid door-to-door soliciting so door knocking just doesn’t/can't happen here.
My point is, I think too many people, like me, have not been asked about their preference in this election. Who are the pollsters talking to? Mainly people who still have landlines? People who respond to those sketchy looking online polls in emails and on social media? People who answer their landline phone calls from unknown callers. I think we may all suspect who most of those people are. Do we want to depend on their opinions?
Great article for the already converted, but for a swing voter? TLDR. None of them are truly invested
Where is the discussion of the risk that if Harris wins and then wins control of Congress, Democrats will pack the Supreme Court. Harris could easily disavow Court expansion by endorsing the Keep 9 Amendment, first introduced in Congress by a Democrat, to keep the Court at 9 Justices. To win swing Haley voters, she should. Why won’t she?
Could you explain the following: why is it so awful for the president to add a new justice every two years, but there is no problem with having the president remove a justice every two years and then fill the vacancy? Make no mistake, an 18 year term limit is basically establishing the latter as the standard order. It allows the president more power to reshape the Court, so explain why the former is packing but the latter is not.
I think about 85,000 voters in Michigan passed on presidential candidates in 2016, left it blank and Hilary lost. Haley will make appearances next week for Trump or so my sources tell me; she obviously does nothing for free so they will mend fences I believe. Who would have ever thought that Trump would not pay for all the blatant cruel racism and violence he brought to politics?
I personally hope that Harris is able to accomplish more than you say, Tim, but I can see why you would provide this analysis to your Haley-supporting friends. And by all means, a hobbled Harris Administration would be infinitely preferable to a cruel, lawless Trump regime. If Harris could work successfully on democracy bolstering efforts (maybe along with Cheney) that would actually be enough for me.
Good article , Tim. I am an independent, but have been completely out on “maga” since the day the access Hollywood tape came out and Trump terrorized a nation full of sexual assault survivors- we have been constantly retraumatized by this predator ever since 🤬.
During the Trump admin, my 403b did great, but it wasn’t thanks to anything Trump did. This is something people don’t realize. Trumps economy wasn’t thanks to Trump.
The disastrous kabul pullout, Trump had a heavy hand in and has responsibility for.
If America abandoned Ukraine to Russia in the same way Trump abandoned the Kurds, it’ll be the most shameless thing America will be known for in the past century or future century.
And if DFT is able to close his own felony cases of DFT v the USA for his wretched treason against the citizens and govt of America it will be worst than any of the rest of it. We cannot function without the rule of law.
Is there anything to say to those who are worried that a President Harris will unilaterally cut off supplies to Israel for its war against Hamas because the left wing chattering class is too up in arms about the human shields getting caught in Israel's operations? Unlike the items you mentioned in section 3, the president does have unilateral authority to make such decisions.
🙄 Her husband is Jewish. No american President is ever going to withhold arms or funding from Israel. She has never uttered one syllable that was out of step with Israel. The only people on her left flank that have been suggesting this have been chanting “Holocaust Harris” - they are not even voting for her. they are the radicals, not her.
She had an opportunity for a Sister Souljah moment that would have shown that she does not listen to the radicals by picking Shapiro as her running mate. She did not take it.
She is also affiliated with an administration that has not just said things out of step with Israel, but has done out of step with Israel. The Biden Administration has withheld arms in certain circumstances and leaked Israeli military plans after demanding that Israel share such plans. When Israel responds to such leaking by acting without sharing such information in advance, Biden berates Israel for not being a team player.
I think it all pales in comparison to ending the American Republic as we know it. That is not justification for not being candid about what can be expected from Harris on Israel based on what he have seen from the administration she served in.
Update: Bernie Sanders is telling his followers that he will prevail over the Harris Administration to take a harder line towards Israel. It's not Harris or anyone in her campaign saying it, but she's not denying it either.
I'll say something further. If the JAG Corps were ti reach a consensus that Israel is taking insufficient measures to protect innocent bystanders from It's efforts against Hamas, I would support measures to rein in Israel in response. That is because unlike the left-wing activists, the JAG Corps weighs the consequences on both sides of the ledger.
Agree, there are 7+M Jews in Israel, 7+M Jews in America, next is France with 450,000. Do the math, she's obviously walking a fine line. It might hurt her in Michigan but not enough of a factor to be meaningful. I didn't even mention Wall Street!
checking R down ballot? does that include Mark Robinson? And would that Youngkin on 2028 ticket be the same one who denied what his ears actually heard or does he have sibling or child waiting in the wings?
Still.. appreciate the effort Tim. Michelle Obama implored us all to do something. And you are.
Nice try Tim. I am sure you feel a lot better getting this off your chest. But ... Sadly ... the die is already cast. As I pointed out in a different comment, I think this election will all come down to the 70% of women that are pissed off that their right to health care has been infringed upon. We can only hope that these women split their ticket.
Yep, Pretty sure there a rule against taking your hubby in the voting booth!
Think you missed an important "plank" in Trump's planned agenda -- making sure "fully intact" boys aren't playing in girls' sports leagues:
"Trump and Republicans Bet Big on Anti-Trans Ads Across the Country:
Republicans have spent tens of millions of dollars on the ads, part of an attempt to help them win over suburban female voters. ....
With just four weeks until the election, Donald J. Trump and Republican candidates nationwide are putting transgender issues at the center of their campaigns, tapping into fears about transgender women and girls in sports and about taxpayer-funded gender transitions in prisons."
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/trump-republican-transgender-ads.html?ogrp=dpl&unlocked_article_code=1.U04.Gl1x.aR4PHluTn1IP&smid=url-share
For all the rot on the Republican side, at least they're not castrating and sterilizing autistic and dysphoric children:
"Why Is the U.S. Still Pretending We Know Gender-Affirming Care Works?":
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/12/opinion/gender-affirming-care-cass-review.html?ogrp=dpl&unlocked_article_code=1.Uk4.DQBC.8tqXCn5oXKoT&smid=url-share
Or removing age guidelines on that "gender-affirming medicalization" -- AKA castrating and sterilizing:
"Unsealed Court Documents Show That Admiral Rachel Levine Pressured WPATH To Remove Age Guidelines From The Latest Standards Of Care":
https://jessesingal.substack.com/p/unsealed-court-documents-show-that
Some wag once jested that the Republicans (Nixon) had put a man on the moon, but that Democrats were putting many men into women's sports, prisons, and change rooms. You may wish to take a gander at a book by Substacker and lawyer Kara Dansky titled, "The Reckoning: How the Democrats and the Left Betrayed Women and Girls":
https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B0CN32BXC2/ref=cbw_us_ca_dp_narx_gl_book
There's one -- of the many -- reasons why the election is a toss-up.
Republicans claim they put a man on the moon? Wow. Nixon took office in late-January 1969. In just just six short months he developed the Saturn V rocket, launched all those increasingly complex missions to and around the Moon, and then landed a man on the Moon in late-July 1969. Extraordinary.
Literally … 🙄 It was a joke, one to emphasize the fact that Harris and Biden, and most Democrats, apparently haven't got a goddamn clue about the bedrock differences between males and females. And about their far-reaching consequences.
And who apparently “think” — being charitable — that Bruce Jenner saying “I identify as a woman, as an adult human female” makes him one. He won't EVER be a female, someone able to conceive, gestate, and give birth to a baby. Primarily because he doesn't have, won't EVER have the ovaries that are pretty much the essential requirement to qualify as a female.
What's your point? You have one? The traditional definition for "woman" is "adult human female":
"woman: : an adult female person"
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/woman
Are Bruce Jenner and Dylan Mulvaney males or females or sexless eunuchs?
Neither Biden nor Harris seem to have damn clue about the difference between males and females. A general cluelessness, particularly on the part of Democrats, which has rotted out much of our educational, legal, governmental, and scientific institutions. They should be sent to wander in the wilderness for the next four years if not longer for that alone.
No problemo. But the problem isn't with the (some) few institutions which recognize the profound differences between sex and gender but with the many -- including the many politicians like Biden & Harris -- which don't have a goddamn clue -- in fact who make strenuous efforts to hide the differences.
The British Medical Journal, and the late great Justice Anton Scalia were among those few:
https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n735
https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep511/usrep511127/usrep511127.pdf
Many Statistics Departments all over the world are among the clueless many:
"Statistics Departments Corrupted by Gender Ideology"; https://humanuseofhumanbeings.substack.com/p/statistics-departments-corrupted
"Sex and the Office for National Statistics: A Case Study in Policy Capture": https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1467-923X.13029
See also:
"The Corrosive Impact of Transgender Ideology": https://www.civitas.org.uk/content/files/2454-A-The-Corrosive-Impact-of-TI-ppi-110-WEB.pdf
Much of our educational system:
"The Anti-Science Disaster of Gender Ideology in the Schools"; https://caroldansereau.substack.com/p/the-anti-science-disaster-of-gender
And your own Department of Education with their demented Title IX policies:
https://karadansky.substack.com/p/what-is-going-on-with-title-ix
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2024/06/18/new-title-ix-regulations-blocked-six-more-states
And your own "Rachel" Levine -- speaking of fish rotting from the head down -- who apparently thinks putting on a dress turns "her" into a female, and who is prepared to sacrifice dysphoric & autistic children to "her" ideology:
"Rachel Levine Must Resign: A case study in politics and ideology overruling science. With children as victims."; https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/p/rachel-levine-must-resign
"rotted out" is being charitable. "on death's doorstep" is maybe more accurate.
Thank you for pointing this out Tim, I really think the the only thing you left out is the Kash Patel’s,Steven Miller, my pillow guy, Gen. Flynn types who will be running our government and never mind the fact that if something does happen to Trump a Musk or Thiel shadow govt will be in place.
But Haley, who knows all this, is supporting Trump. She wants a political career so it makes sense, but if she thinks she'll get a chance to run the next term, she has to factor in two things. 1) Trump very possibly won't leave office, and 2) Vance who will not go quietly.
One thing's for sure. Haley voters are not opposed to having a woman as POTUS.