Kevin this isn’t true. Biden got 51% not 46%. Where are you getting that number?
First let’s stipulate a few things:
1. Obama ran in the best year ever (a financial crisis 2 months before the election after 8 years of war under the opposition party…Clinton would have crushed too but probably not as well as Obama).
Kevin this isn’t true. Biden got 51% not 46%. Where are you getting that number?
First let’s stipulate a few things:
1. Obama ran in the best year ever (a financial crisis 2 months before the election after 8 years of war under the opposition party…Clinton would have crushed too but probably not as well as Obama).
2. Obama was a generational politician. Biden is not.
3. The media environment was drastically different in 2008 than 2020 or 2024 (social media was barely anything in 2008. I know I was an early investor in twitter).
First Biden got 51% of the vote in 2020 and Obama got 53% in 2008. A 2 point margin. Let’s get our facts straight here.
You are comparing Clinton’s reelection to Biden unseating an incumbent. Very very different. You would need to compare Clinton 1992 to Biden 2020 not his reelection bid in 1996.
I’m not sure if you noticed but look at almost every single election around the world. They are ALL getting crushed. Literally all of them. Doesn’t matter if they are left, center left, center, right, ultra right or even semi-authoritarian (Israel, Hungary, India, and turkey). It doesn’t matter if they are old or young or male or female. Incumbents and incumbent parties are just losing everywhere.
It’s easy to say “there has to be someone out there that everyone likes” but there is no evidence in our politics that this is true. Literally every president starts out at the highest favorability rate the day they take the oath. Then it falls until it’s at its lowest level when they leave office (true for Obama too).
Kevin this isn’t true. Biden got 51% not 46%. Where are you getting that number?
First let’s stipulate a few things:
1. Obama ran in the best year ever (a financial crisis 2 months before the election after 8 years of war under the opposition party…Clinton would have crushed too but probably not as well as Obama).
2. Obama was a generational politician. Biden is not.
3. The media environment was drastically different in 2008 than 2020 or 2024 (social media was barely anything in 2008. I know I was an early investor in twitter).
First Biden got 51% of the vote in 2020 and Obama got 53% in 2008. A 2 point margin. Let’s get our facts straight here.
You are comparing Clinton’s reelection to Biden unseating an incumbent. Very very different. You would need to compare Clinton 1992 to Biden 2020 not his reelection bid in 1996.
I’m not sure if you noticed but look at almost every single election around the world. They are ALL getting crushed. Literally all of them. Doesn’t matter if they are left, center left, center, right, ultra right or even semi-authoritarian (Israel, Hungary, India, and turkey). It doesn’t matter if they are old or young or male or female. Incumbents and incumbent parties are just losing everywhere.
It’s easy to say “there has to be someone out there that everyone likes” but there is no evidence in our politics that this is true. Literally every president starts out at the highest favorability rate the day they take the oath. Then it falls until it’s at its lowest level when they leave office (true for Obama too).