That doesn't work as an explanation at all. There are a bunch of voters in several states that can be persuaded to vote for a candidate from either party. Sure, gains are limited by opportunities which are affected by partisanship. But it's not just partisanship. Especially not the presidential elections, which were won by not-hilary and then by not-trump.
That doesn't work as an explanation at all. There are a bunch of voters in several states that can be persuaded to vote for a candidate from either party. Sure, gains are limited by opportunities which are affected by partisanship. But it's not just partisanship. Especially not the presidential elections, which were won by not-hilary and then by not-trump.
Kevin, apologies, I didn’t mean there isn’t a very very small amount of people that aren’t pure partisans. I’m saying that polarization has made it impossible to have anything close to blowouts in national elections. Look at the difference between obama’s vote share in 2008 in probably the best environment imaginable and Biden’s win in 2020. It’s marginal and polarization has only gotten worse (also the media environment has fractured even more…100m cable subs in 2007 compared to 70m now).
I am not saying that there aren’t non-partisan voters, they are just vanishingly small. That’s all.
You could run satan versus Jesus and it would be a 53-47 election (honestly 55-45 probably).
That doesn't work as an explanation at all. There are a bunch of voters in several states that can be persuaded to vote for a candidate from either party. Sure, gains are limited by opportunities which are affected by partisanship. But it's not just partisanship. Especially not the presidential elections, which were won by not-hilary and then by not-trump.
Kevin, apologies, I didn’t mean there isn’t a very very small amount of people that aren’t pure partisans. I’m saying that polarization has made it impossible to have anything close to blowouts in national elections. Look at the difference between obama’s vote share in 2008 in probably the best environment imaginable and Biden’s win in 2020. It’s marginal and polarization has only gotten worse (also the media environment has fractured even more…100m cable subs in 2007 compared to 70m now).
I am not saying that there aren’t non-partisan voters, they are just vanishingly small. That’s all.
You could run satan versus Jesus and it would be a 53-47 election (honestly 55-45 probably).