I wrote this on Jvl’s newsletter today and it makes sense here.
Look all the choices suck. But there are few things that we need to stipulate with respect to this situation:
1. We might lose no matter what. Incumbents and incumbent parties are getting crushed everywhere.
2. The easiest path forward is Biden but it may not be the best.
3. Kamala is the second easiest path but she also might not be the right candidate.
4. There could be a better candidate than either Kamala or Biden. Shit, it’s likely!!! But, and this is the most important point: (1) the better candidate runs in this shitshow, (2) you have to trust that delegates can identify the better candidate in 5 weeks and (3) they will forget loyalty and interests and choose that candidate.
5. The process no matter how well it plays out will be (1) bad for Dems and (2) good for Trump for 6 weeks,
I wrote this on Jvl’s newsletter today and it makes sense here.
Look all the choices suck. But there are few things that we need to stipulate with respect to this situation:
1. We might lose no matter what. Incumbents and incumbent parties are getting crushed everywhere.
2. The easiest path forward is Biden but it may not be the best.
3. Kamala is the second easiest path but she also might not be the right candidate.
4. There could be a better candidate than either Kamala or Biden. Shit, it’s likely!!! But, and this is the most important point: (1) the better candidate runs in this shitshow, (2) you have to trust that delegates can identify the better candidate in 5 weeks and (3) they will forget loyalty and interests and choose that candidate.
5. The process no matter how well it plays out will be (1) bad for Dems and (2) good for Trump for 6 weeks,
I still say give us any candidate but Biden at this point.
Like I said that could work. Probably a low probability event but it’s possible.