(Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
A well-known scientist (some say it was Bertrand Russell) once gave a public lecture on astronomy. He described how the earth orbits around the sun and how the sun, in turn, orbits around the centre of a vast collection of stars called our galaxy. At the end of the lecture, a little old lady at the back of the room got up and said: "What you have told us is rubbish. The world is really a flat plate supported on the back of a giant tortoise." The scientist gave a superior smile before replying, "What is the tortoise standing on?" "You're very clever, young man, very clever," said the old lady. "But it's turtles all the way down!" — Stephen Hawking A Brief History of Time
In the event that you exercised the good judgment to go off the grid over the holiday weekend, you may have missed this latest insight into the taxonomy of the GOP:
The backstory is familiar, but it’s fascinating nonetheless, if only as an example of the depth of self-humiliation required to be a ”leader” in the party these days.
MTG’s call with Kevin McCarthy came shortly after the deplorable freshman congresswoman threatened to torpedo McCarthy’s ambition to be elected Speaker of the House. Appearing on Rep. Matt Gaetz's “Firebrand” podcast, Greene declared that McCarthy “doesn’t have the votes” to be speaker.
And then she laid out her complaints and demands.
“Many of us,” she said, “ are very unhappy about the failure to hold Republicans accountable, while conservatives like me, Paul Gosar, and many others just constantly take the abuse by the Democrats.”
For Greene, it’s not enough that McCarthy backed the purge of Liz Cheney from leadership, or that he has continued to publicly back Greene, Gosar, and Lauren Boebert.
She wants retribution. Specifically, she wants Cheney and Trump-critic Adam Kinzinger expelled from the the GOP altogether. She also wants to see the Republicans who voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill punished — especially John Katko, who not only voted for the bill, but also had the temerity to back the impeachment of Donald Trump.
“Katko’s not a Republican,” Greene said on Gaetz’s podcast. “He’s a Democrat.”
The unambiguous implication here: If McCarthy does not appease Greene, she and the other deplorables might withhold their votes from McCarthy, denying him (once again) the dearest object of his ambition. That ambition — which has slipped from his grasp before — is the passion, and obsession of McCarthy’s life. It is the lodestar that guides his every action and utterance.
Kevin McCarthy wants to be speaker so badly that he has been willing to sacrifice every bit of his independence and pride to get it — from truckling to Donald Trump, to turning a blind eye to the conspiracy-theorists and bigots in his caucus.
There was once a time when a party leader might have simply ignored sniping from a freshman, or slapped down an unhinged backbencher. But McCarthy is not that leader. And so the man who would be third in line to the presidency picked up the phone, and pandered to the first term QAnon-adjacent MTG.
The reviews have been blistering:
Of course, McCarthy sees it differently. He calculates that bending the knee to Greene is simply the price he has to pay to wield the gavel. He is confident that Republicans will win back the House next year, putting him within tantalizing reach of the object of his desire. If sucking up to Gaetz/Greene/Boebert/Gosar & Co. is the price he has to pay for power… he’s more than willing.
History is full of tradeoffs for power.
Explaining his sudden conversion to Catholicism, the French king, Henry IV, reportedly quipped, “Paris is worth a mass.”
For McCarthy, the gavel is worth a humiliating phone call.
If he becomes speaker it will all be worth it.
But then what?
One suspects that McCarthy is not much given to introspection, so it’s not likely he’s asked the question: After he comes to his throne, what then?
What will happen to a speaker who rose to power by shrinking himself? What sort of power will be wielded by a man who obtained it through displays of weakness?
The problem, of course, is that appeasement begets appeasement. As Politico’s Playbook noted:
This isn’t the end of this saga. It appears that MTG is just beginning to understand the depth of her power over McCarthy, who has been angling for years to become speaker. She has DONALD TRUMP’S ear and the following of about a dozen House rabble-rousers. She’s clearly starting to see that any time she doesn’t like something McCarthy does, all she has to do is call foul and lord his speakership dreams over his head. It’s going to be a very, very long year ahead for the House GOP leader.
But this reflects the taxonomy of power in the GOP. Our colleague Amanda Carpenter nailed this back in May.
MTG isn’t chastened by verbal slaps on the wrists. She’s emboldened….
Greene knows where she stands. As long as she has Trump’s support and keeps his voters in the GOP tent, she’s calling the shots. Not McCarthy.
This weekend’s phone call was simply a reminder of that over-arching reality. Trump holds the GOP leadership hostage; and that leadership is held hostage by its most junior members, who in turn, are creatures of a political culture that is increasingly inflamed.
In the GOP, it’s humiliation all the way down.
As the Omicron Variant Spreads
Via Axios: “GOP courts anti-vaxxers with jobless aid.”
Republican officials around the country are testing a creative mechanism to build loyalty with unvaccinated Americans while undermining Biden administration mandates: unemployment benefits.
Driving the news: Florida, Iowa, Kansas and Tennessee have changed their unemployment insurance rules to allow workers who are fired or quit over vaccine mandates to receive benefits.
Laser focused
Headline over at NBC News: “Laser-focused on 2020, Trump seeks a Michigan Legislature that could help him in 2024.”
In this context, ‘help” means “steal.”
Trump’s focus on the state illuminates just how driven he is to exact revenge on those who haven’t supported his baseless claim that the last election was stolen from him. It’s also a play to install allies who could be helpful should he run for president again in 2024 and find himself locked in another close race. The Republican-controlled Legislature spent eight months investigating the results of the 2020 presidential election and found no reason to doubt their legitimacy. GOP leaders have also refused to accede to Trump’s demands for a ballot review like the one Republicans authorized in Arizona, which found no proof of fraud and concluded that Biden defeated Trump in the state by even more votes than the certified tally showed.
“Michigan needs a new legislature,” Trump wrote in his Nov. 15 endorsement of Rachelle Smit for state representative. “The cowards there now are too spineless to investigate Election Fraud.”
Meanwhile, in Arizona
Catching up
ICYMI over the weekend, my latest on the verdict in the Charlottesville civil trial:
That’s the lesson of Charlottesville and Jan. 6. It’s all cosplay, bravado and make believe. Until it’s not.
A mature political party would sense the danger and dial down the rhetoric. A decent political party would expel the bigots and extremists. A responsible political party would purge advocates of violence.
Don’t expect that to happen anytime soon.
**
Related, via the NYT: “Charlottesville Extremists Lose in Court, but Replacement Theory Lives On.”
Four years after the event, the same ideas that made “Unite the Right” a lightning rod for hate groups are increasingly being echoed, albeit in modulated tones, by prominent figures in conservative media and politics. Chief among them is the great replacement theory, which holds that Democrats and others on the left are trying to supplant white Americans with immigrants and others for their own political gain.
This ideology’s shift from the margins toward the center was one of the leitmotifs of the nearly monthlong trial. Its spread suggests why it was crucial to have brought legal action against the defendants in the first place, according to those who helped to plan the case. “Precisely because their ideas have become more mainstream, it underscores why it is so important to hold these extremists accountable,” said Amy Spitalnick, executive director of Integrity First for America, a civil rights group that underwrote the suit.
**
David Frum apparently triggered the cons with his latest: “It Wasn’t a Hoax.”
Anti-anti-Trump journalists want to use the Steele controversy to score points off politicians and media institutions that they dislike. But as media malpractice goes, credulous reliance upon the Steele dossier is just a speck compared with—for example—the willingness of the top-rated shows on Fox News to promote the fantasy that the Democratic Party hacked itself, then murdered a staffer named Seth Rich to cover up the self-hack. (Some versions of this false claim include suggesting that Rich himself committed the crime.) Fox News ultimately settled with Rich’s family for an undisclosed sum even as the Fox host who had done most to promote the false story insisted on his radio show that he had retracted nothing. The story was crazy and cruel. But the story protected Trump, and that was proof enough for a media organization much more powerful than any of those that accepted the Steele dossier.
Quick Hits
Meet the Texas Secessionist Movement: Brought to You by Russia
Kristofer Harrison in today’s Bulwark:
Secession is one of the Kremlin’s “active measures” campaigns: Promote fringe whackos abroad and hope that, eventually, they break something. This may not sound like much of a plan, but it sometimes works. Putin has been openly building his portfolio of whackos for a while. And the whackos have begun breaking things.
The shiny ball that caught Cruz’s attention was The Texas Nationalist Movement (TNM). TNM is Texas’s most prominent secessionist organization. In 2015, TNM attended a St. Petersburg gathering of worldwide extremists organized by Rodina—that’s “Motherland” in Russian—the fascist-adjacent offshoot of Putin’s United Russia party.
That gathering was a safe space where the likes of German Neo-Nazis, the KKK, Greece’s Golden Dawn, and Roberto Fiore (the Italian terrorist responsible for a 1980 bombing in Bologna that killed 85), could gather and praise Putin’s defense of Western (read: “white”) culture. Here, featured on Rodina’s website, is Nate Smith, TNM’s executive director, in attendance. Howdy! Russia’s info warriors were very pleased with his comments at the event. This skullduggery got so bad and Robert Mueller indicted 13 Russians who were working with the Texas secessionist movement in 2016 to—please put down your coffee—spread misinformation about Ted Cruz during the presidential primary in order to help Donald Trump.
There’s a nice symmetry there. Some day when when Hollywood comes calling the film can be titled, “From Victim to Dupe: The Ted Cruz Story.”
(Disclaimer: I am not and have never been a Democrat. I think some of the more extreme elements of the Democrat party are full-on idiots).
Reading the comments here I see what amounts to a bunch of both-siderism (especially WRT Lincoln project--which isn't actually the Democrats). I also see a lot of talk about the "extremism" of the Democrat agenda.
I am kind of wondering what a lot of you folks are smoking.
The GoP is becoming increasingly and visible insane, is actually driven by its more extreme elements and is beholden to a man whose only interest is himself, whose only love is himself (and how well that fits into contemporary American culture--what a mirror to hold up to ourselves, eh).
And we look set to put these people back into power... because wokeness, because we might spend some money on non-well-to-do people. Might pay more in taxes. If it wasn't so sad and scary it would be hilarious.
Unlike the GoP, the extremist elements don't actually control the Democrat Party. They make a lot of noise on social media and in the general media. Yet, strangely, most of the progressive agenda doesn't really ever seem to get anywhere... mostly because of kickback in the Democrat party, itself.
We have spent the last several decades under variations of conservative, corporate governance (even when the Democrats were purportedly in power). That is what has gotten us to the point that we are at:
Economic inequality not seen since since the Gilded Age;
Increased racial animosity and visible prejudice, heading towards violence;
Bailouts for the rich and the corps while the rest go hang;
A general willful ignorance of objective reality;
A preference for performance/entertainment over actual substance (and a confusion of the first for the second);
Social disaffection to the point that people are unwilling to wear a MASK during a pandemic (if only to exhibit social solidarity and caring for others) or to get a vaccination.
Too many Americans are unmoored to reality. Spend too much time on social media. Listen to too many idiots whose only cachet is their popularity--think that opinions = facts.
There is no actual leadership, anywhere. They are a lot of "leaders" who are merely people trying to get out in front of the other idiots--either so they can pretend they have power or so they can make money. Leaders do not ape and amplify the feelings and opinions of the mob, leaders SHAPE and reform the feelings and opinions of the mob (hopefully to improve them and culture, in general). I am seeing very little of this. It IS out there but it is drowned in the excrement extravaganza that we have made of our culture and politics.
The problems are not in our politics, the problem is in our culture. The politics is merely a visible symptom.
Unfortunately there is no quick fix. There may not even be a fix short of an actual collapse pf the system. I am increasing convinced of this, when I look around me. The problem with a collapse is that you can't know what you are going to end up with, instead.
I finally had time to listen to the Bulwark's turkey podcast with Sarah, Mona, Amanda and Charlie yesterday.
Whichever one of you hasn't seen Scrooged yet needs to put everything else down and watch it immediately. It is the best modern Christmas movie (and yes, Sarah, Diehard is a Christmas movie).
Ok, but my main bit of contention is not understanding how all of you rightly point out that Democrats should be acting more urgently about protecting our elections while simultaneously, still, lauding Manchin for being so awesome when he is the singular reason why Democrats will not be able to pass any election reform through his and Sinema's refusal to adjust the filibuster to allow a vote to come to the Senate floor. Therefore I can only conclude that for Manchinema-stans blocking "progressive" legislation overrides protecting elections since that seems to be the reason some of you like him so much.
When the Big Steal finally happens in 2024 it will be Manchin's fault and those who supported him because if he wanted to allow it, the Democrats would have passed election reform months ago.