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"While either would be able to mount a more meaningful challenge to Schiff in a general election than the Republican Garvey, the uncelebrated baseballer is on track to go with Schiff into the two-person arena this fall after polls close this evening."

Yes, California is a deep blue state, but its voters are not homogeneous, there is a large contingent of Repubs in the state. With this in mind, I find it highly likely that Mr Garvey will be Mr Schiff's opponent in Nov. Schiff will get a solid plurality of the Dems voting, and Garvey will likely get almost all of the Repub votes. As noted, Ms Porter and Ms Lee combined are approximately polling the same as Schiff, and both are well behind Garvey. IMO as an outsider, the CA Senate race has been a two person event from the start.

No matter how close Garvey is to Schiff after tonight, it is still a moot point. As I and others have said, CA is a blue state, and I don't really think that it will go purple with the election of Mr Garvey -- it ain't gonna happen. Ms Porter's and Ms Lee's supporters will go with Schiff, especially Ms Lee's; she inhabits the left wing of the Dem party, and I just don't see progressives voting for a Repub backed by the Mango Malignancy.

This is a guess and not a prediction.

fnord

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