That's the thing to me. It feels less like MAGA will gain a bunch of new converts at this point and more like a significant number of customary Democratic voters will sit out the election either as protest (e.g. Gaza) or out of political fatigue, indifference, or thinking that their vote doesn't matter. Conversely those Rs (fewer in number) disinclined to turn up at the polls may seem more energized to do so if they smell blood in the water and increasingly feel like they are on the winning team. There still is time to rally the Democratic base, but each day it is getting both later and harder to break out of the cycle that the Democrats are seen as weak and vulnerable and the GOP as the party of power and change. Media coverage isn't helping us with that now either.
Maybe then not so much normie Rs as swing voters.
MAYBE just young voters and disaffected Democrats
That's the thing to me. It feels less like MAGA will gain a bunch of new converts at this point and more like a significant number of customary Democratic voters will sit out the election either as protest (e.g. Gaza) or out of political fatigue, indifference, or thinking that their vote doesn't matter. Conversely those Rs (fewer in number) disinclined to turn up at the polls may seem more energized to do so if they smell blood in the water and increasingly feel like they are on the winning team. There still is time to rally the Democratic base, but each day it is getting both later and harder to break out of the cycle that the Democrats are seen as weak and vulnerable and the GOP as the party of power and change. Media coverage isn't helping us with that now either.