I told people right here on the Bulwark that I did not think that dumping Joe would make much difference in the polls. For many weeks afterwards I was correct. The Dem candidate and Trump kept pingponging in the polls. BUT I have noticed over the last few weeks a small by persistent lean towards Harris. Nevertheless it is still astoundin…
I told people right here on the Bulwark that I did not think that dumping Joe would make much difference in the polls. For many weeks afterwards I was correct. The Dem candidate and Trump kept pingponging in the polls. BUT I have noticed over the last few weeks a small by persistent lean towards Harris. Nevertheless it is still astounding that the Dem candidate (whoever it is, was) is (was) not ahead by double digits. Trump was always going to lose the popular vote. The only question that still remains is whether he can manage to slither through the Electoral College.
Had Biden stayed in, the election would have been a landslide for Trump. In Mn. and Virginia, Trump was even in two non competitive at the time and ahead in all the swing states.(within the margins) Harris has made headway in that she leads 2-3 points nationally. But it should not be a toss up. To alter James Carville's line: It is the voters stupid. (American voters that is, not you Terry!)
It was never going to be a landslide for Trump, Biden or no Biden. Trump was always going to lose the popular vote. As it turned out Biden's presence was an easy distraction from Trump even if there is actually nothing wrong with Biden's ability to do the job. Trump lost that distraction.
I told people right here on the Bulwark that I did not think that dumping Joe would make much difference in the polls. For many weeks afterwards I was correct. The Dem candidate and Trump kept pingponging in the polls. BUT I have noticed over the last few weeks a small by persistent lean towards Harris. Nevertheless it is still astounding that the Dem candidate (whoever it is, was) is (was) not ahead by double digits. Trump was always going to lose the popular vote. The only question that still remains is whether he can manage to slither through the Electoral College.
Had Biden stayed in, the election would have been a landslide for Trump. In Mn. and Virginia, Trump was even in two non competitive at the time and ahead in all the swing states.(within the margins) Harris has made headway in that she leads 2-3 points nationally. But it should not be a toss up. To alter James Carville's line: It is the voters stupid. (American voters that is, not you Terry!)
It was never going to be a landslide for Trump, Biden or no Biden. Trump was always going to lose the popular vote. As it turned out Biden's presence was an easy distraction from Trump even if there is actually nothing wrong with Biden's ability to do the job. Trump lost that distraction.