Bear in mind that elimination of the grossly undemocratic Electoral College would make the entire notion of "swing" states moot. Of course, the amendment which would write the E. C. out of the Constitution would need to be accompanied by a second amendment (another Second Amendment!!!) providing for public funding of elections, as well as calendar limitations on campaigning.
No lie, my cope is going to be a weeklong silent meditation retreat Oct 15-22, absolutely no tv, radio, phone, or computer. I’ll be back for the election, but I’ll be tuned to the key of life.
I'm glad to see that Liz Cheney came to Wisconsin and put both meat on the bones and her boots on the ground in our swing state. I wish I could say the same about the Bulwark staff, highlighting their upcoming visits to Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Detroit.
Pennsylvania ... check. Michigan ... check. Wisconsin ... pass. Apparently Milwaukee and/or Madison aren't worthy. Or our beer and cheese are not sufficiently tasty. It is disappointing that in a state where every vote matters, in an election that is too close to call and too close for comfort, they continue to skip our part of the nation and help it earn its unwanted reputation as Flyover Country.
Food for thought when I get my next e-mail for subscription renewal.
I can't post a chart DataTrust displays there, but follow along anyway. The chart displays for each election cycle the percentage of Democrats, Other and Republicans that turned out to vote in Pennsylvania.
First look at the 2020 figures. Per DataTrust, the Dems turned out their voters at 73.4% and the GOP turned out theirs at 80.8%. The GOP had a 7.4% advantage.
Yet Biden won PA by 1.17% of the vote.
Next, take a look at the 2022 figures. The GOP had a 6.9% advantage turning out their voters over the Democrats (69.0% to 62.1%).
Yet the Democrats won the governorship and the Senate seat.
It really boils down to Get Out The Vote. This is assuming that the "Other" category split their vote in 2024 similarly to 2020 and 2022, and there is not a lot of reason to suppose that they won't. If the Dems can get as a percentage as many of their voters to the polls as the GOP, then IMO the Dems' victory is assured per GOP's own data (of course, what reliance you can put on GOP data?)
Close some of the 6-7% lead the GOP has over the Democrats in turning out their voters, and win!
Another way of looking it is that the Dems have more headroom to grow than the GOP. Exploit that! Can the GOP can possible muster the 80.8% enthusiasm of 2020 in 2024?
So, Sarah, JVL and Time, all the best in your efforts to inch the Democratic vote up and the Other and Republican columns to vote Democratic!
Dying to go to the Detroit event but already sold out. If anybody has tickets they can't use, please let me know!
Any plans to hit GA? The anti-Harris ads are killing us! Help!
Why no love for Wisconsin?
Hoping that "greater Detroit" is more Ann Arbor than it is Bay City...
How about downtown?
Sure!
Can we get a real-time NY Times-style needle for JVL's Xanax intake?
How about Reno or at least, Vegas? Did we lose our swing state status? If we did then pls tell me it's because Harris is up by 10.
Bear in mind that elimination of the grossly undemocratic Electoral College would make the entire notion of "swing" states moot. Of course, the amendment which would write the E. C. out of the Constitution would need to be accompanied by a second amendment (another Second Amendment!!!) providing for public funding of elections, as well as calendar limitations on campaigning.
YEAH BABY! "DEEEEEtroit area." That's roughly Flint/Lansing/Detroit in a big triangle! :) The Silverdome! Combine it with Monster Tractors!
Akkkk...You come to Da Burgh and I'm out of town that day!
No lie, my cope is going to be a weeklong silent meditation retreat Oct 15-22, absolutely no tv, radio, phone, or computer. I’ll be back for the election, but I’ll be tuned to the key of life.
I'm glad to see that Liz Cheney came to Wisconsin and put both meat on the bones and her boots on the ground in our swing state. I wish I could say the same about the Bulwark staff, highlighting their upcoming visits to Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Detroit.
Pennsylvania ... check. Michigan ... check. Wisconsin ... pass. Apparently Milwaukee and/or Madison aren't worthy. Or our beer and cheese are not sufficiently tasty. It is disappointing that in a state where every vote matters, in an election that is too close to call and too close for comfort, they continue to skip our part of the nation and help it earn its unwanted reputation as Flyover Country.
Food for thought when I get my next e-mail for subscription renewal.
I can help with the Detroit event. Please reach out to me. Thanks!
omgosh omgosh omgosh I GET TO GO TO A BULWARK EVENT.
My poor husband lol!
Josh Marshall of TalkingPointsMemo.com mentioned "DataTrust" as the GOP source and custodian of voter data.
From there: look at https://thedatatrust.com/state-brief-pennsylvania/
I can't post a chart DataTrust displays there, but follow along anyway. The chart displays for each election cycle the percentage of Democrats, Other and Republicans that turned out to vote in Pennsylvania.
First look at the 2020 figures. Per DataTrust, the Dems turned out their voters at 73.4% and the GOP turned out theirs at 80.8%. The GOP had a 7.4% advantage.
Yet Biden won PA by 1.17% of the vote.
Next, take a look at the 2022 figures. The GOP had a 6.9% advantage turning out their voters over the Democrats (69.0% to 62.1%).
Yet the Democrats won the governorship and the Senate seat.
It really boils down to Get Out The Vote. This is assuming that the "Other" category split their vote in 2024 similarly to 2020 and 2022, and there is not a lot of reason to suppose that they won't. If the Dems can get as a percentage as many of their voters to the polls as the GOP, then IMO the Dems' victory is assured per GOP's own data (of course, what reliance you can put on GOP data?)
Close some of the 6-7% lead the GOP has over the Democrats in turning out their voters, and win!
Another way of looking it is that the Dems have more headroom to grow than the GOP. Exploit that! Can the GOP can possible muster the 80.8% enthusiasm of 2020 in 2024?
So, Sarah, JVL and Time, all the best in your efforts to inch the Democratic vote up and the Other and Republican columns to vote Democratic!
How about Arizona?
Check out this Phoenix event.
https://www.principlesfirst.us/event/principles-first-dinner-phoenix-arizona/
Yah, Michigan! Sometimes it pays to be in a swing state. 😅