3 Comments
⭠ Return to thread

Hey Tim, As JVL reminded you at your last live event, months ago, you said the time to freak out was end of April showing bad polls. Now it's mid-May, and the Times/Sienna polls are horrendous. I don't know about you, but I'm freaking out. Biden is losing in all swing states except for WI. Trump even hits 50% in some. As you point out, the polls show Democrat incumbent Senators are far out pacing Biden's support in those swing states. As Will suggests, that's an indicator of Biden's singular electoral problem. The President needs to step aside from his candidacy; a competition between Biden and other Dems would be self-defeating, for any subsequent anti-Trump candidacy. (And I don't think a Harris replacement candidacy is appropriate when illegal migration was supposed to be her portfolio, and the continuing migrant crisis is likely the number one issue for get-able anti-Trump Rs or I's. Besides, what would be her poll numbers in those swing states?) Why won't Biden step down for the sake of the country and honor his 2020 "bridge" promise? Does the Bulwark think its ant-Trump voyage is sinking based upon the ego-centric obstinance of the President? Is there truly no other Democrat who could do better against Trump?

Expand full comment

Yep the polls suck. As I’ve said for over a year and half it was always going to be a 50/50 shot with Biden. With anyone else it was going to be a definite loss. Seriously every other dem polls worse against Trump. If we are going to believe the polls then believe them.

The better question is what should he do to pivot. According to the polls we need to pivot hard on Israel. You ok with that?

People if we are going to lose the polls and the polls say minorities and youth don’t like the FP then pivot on FP. IM for support for Israel and Ukraine but if it means Biden loses…goodbye Israel and Ukraine.

Expand full comment

The only likely one would be Newsom. But he would have an uphill battle in the swing states. There’s too much at stake with the economy still uncertain for many voters & the wars in Ukraine & Israel. It’s agonizing! But Trump? It would be an even worse disaster!

Expand full comment